A pregnant woman is preparing to name her seventh child. Her children's names so far are Dominique, Regis, Michelle, Fawn, Sophie, and Lara. What will she name her next child -- Jessica, Katie, Abby or Tilly?
Role Action
Block Prevents the target player from acting
Redirect Change target player target.
Save Protects the target player from death.
Seer Sees all actions that occurred
Murderer Kills the target player
The following five players are playing:
Andy
Brian
Chris
Daniel
Fred
You are Andy the Seer and you saw the following things:
a) Brian was redirected to Chris.
b) Chris was blocked.
c) Daniel was killed.
James Bond is caught up in a mysterious scenario where the evil villain has him blindfolded. He somehow breaks through the handcuffs but is unable to get the blindfold off. Upon searching, he comes across a bow and 3 arrows. He can hear the villain speak, and thus tries to take a shot at him. He launches the first arrow, it misses the villain. He then launches the second arrow and it misses by a greater margin.
What is the probability that this third shot our James bond takes will be worse than the second shot?