James Bond is caught up in a mysterious scenario where the evil villain has him blindfolded. He somehow breaks through the handcuffs but is unable to get the blindfold off. Upon searching, he comes across a bow and 3 arrows. He can hear the villain speak, and thus tries to take a shot at him. He launches the first arrow, it misses the villain. He then launches the second arrow and it misses by a greater margin.
What is the probability that this third shot our James bond takes will be worse than the second shot?
There is a bag which have 21 blue balls and 23 red balls. You also have 22 red balls outside the bag. Randomly remove two balls from the bag. * If they are of different colors, put the blue one back in the bag. * If they are the same colour, take them out and put a red ball back in the bag. Repeat this until only one ball remains in the bag. What is the color of the sole ball left in the bag ?